StatestratThe monthly brief
A month of monitoring accumulated: risk scorecard against baseline, the month in numbers, what moved, and what to watch next.
Boards under financial stress, a farmer strike, and a market flipping to deficit
Seven monitored lanes scored against their start-of-month baseline; arrivals −43% year-on-year; warehouse stocks at a 2.5-year high; the 2026/27 balance flipping from surplus to a ~64 kt deficit; EUDR segmentation from 30 Dec; four scenario notes and next month's watchlist.
Read the monthly brief (PDF)The weekly brief
Standing weekly deltas — what changed this week, what it means for you, and what we watch next. Three industry samples, one format:
Cocoa & chocolate ingredients
Farm-gate price politics and farmer-strike risk; the 2026/27 balance flipping to deficit; port congestion watch; EUDR segmentation from 30 Dec; FX context.
Read the weekly brief (PDF)Steel fasteners — China & Taiwan
Canada's 25% surtax on the full 7318 heading from all origins; SIMA duties continued to 2031; the US lane closing to China; USMCA review cycle; HRC input inflation.
Read the weekly brief (PDF)Manufacturing inputs — Asia
Rare-earth suspension expiry; Vietnam's 12.5% Section 301 duty; Taiwan Strait mobilisation; freight +143% year-on-year; Canada PMI contraction and war-risk pricing.
Read the weekly brief (PDF)The alert stream
Short, same-day alerts fired when a monitored threshold moves — severity, what happened, why it matters, and the next trigger. A sample of the stream:
Three alerts, end to end
Cocoa — farmer strike extends (1 Nov, elevated). Steel — midterms changed the politics, not the tariff (4 Nov, elevated). Manufacturing — rare-earth expiry window (3 Nov, watch). Each alert as a client receives it, with suggested response and next-trigger logic.
Read the alert sample (PDF)Which plan includes what: Brief C$400/mo — the monthly brief · Ping C$600/mo — the monthly brief + alert stream · Intelligence C$1,000/mo — the monthly brief, alert stream, and weekly briefs. Additional countries C$300/mo each. Every sample above is a real deliverable; yours is scoped to your exposure.